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10. Investment Discipline v. Picking Winners

 Clients Robert and Melissa
 Situation Managed their own portfolio of investments valued at approximately $200,000.  They were active investors who constantly traded their investments and speculated on the latest hot stocks and highly rated managed funds.
 Problem Their investment returns were going nowhere.
 Solution Financial planner explained the following:
  • Predicting markets, companies and investment returns is unnecessary and nearly impossible.
  • Every trade incurs costs, and each time an individual or managed fund sells an investment, this potentially triggers a new tax liability. These costs place a significant drag on investment returns over the long term.
  • Investors should consider the latest academic research to support their investment approach, rather than market hype and speculation.
  • Costs are important – high fees charged by product providers and fund managers can substantially erode net returns over the long term.
  • There are numerous benefits to be attained from diversification.
Robert and Melissa agreed to adopt a more balanced and disciplined investment approach for half of their investments ($100,000) and continue their current trading and speculation with the remaining $100,000.
 Outcome Over the next ten years, Robert and Melissa’s actively traded portfolio had larger fluctuations in value, although in the end, they both achieved the same return of 8% per annum. Upon further analysis, the active portfolio incurred additional costs of 0.5% per annum and capital gains tax was payable when each profitable investment was sold.

 

 

 Active Trading

 Disciplined Investment

Starting amount

 $100,000

 $100,000

Closing amount (10 years)1

$158,000

$197,000 

Net gain

$58,000 

$97,000

Net return % pa2

4.7%

7%

Additional assets

 

$39,000 


1 Approximate values only.  Investment returns both assumed at 8% per annum, including 3.2% pa dividend, 4.8% pa growth and 30% franking.  Robert and Melissa’s marginal tax rate of 40% plus Medicare Levy of 1.5% = 41.5%.  There is no Capital Gains Tax (CGT) discount available to the active portfolio and the tax liability is payable in the same year it was incurred.
2 Compound annual growth rate, after taxes and fees.

 


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